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A New Cosmology of Risks and Crises: Time for a Radical Shift in Paradigm and Practice

机译:风险与危机的新宇宙论:范式与实践的根本转变之时

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摘要

Crises in the 21st century differ—structurally— from those we had to deal with in the last century. Those were traditionally defined and handled as a combination of “threat, urgency and uncertainty”. Today, they are better described in terms of a destruction of vital references and a dynamic of systemic implosions. If crises were a type of severe, dynamic accident , they are becoming the essential mode of life of our hypercomplex systems. These transboundary crises mark a watershed between mindsets and tools of the past, and the new strategic landscape which we are now in. The intellectual and governance challenges are extreme. But looking backwards is not an option. It is vital to forge new routes into Terrae Incognitae. The goal of this article is to help build a) a renewed understanding of the emerging challenges we face; b) a better strategic response to these systemic dislocations which are now the name of the game.
机译:21世纪的危机在结构上不同于我们在上个世纪应对的危机。传统上将这些定义和处理为“威胁,紧迫性和不确定性”的组合。如今,通过破坏重要参考文献和动态系统内爆可以更好地描述它们。如果危机是严重的动态事故类型,那么它们就成为我们超复杂系统的基本生活模式。这些跨界危机标志着过去的思维方式和工具与我们现在所处的新战略格局之间的分水岭。智力和治理方面的挑战是极端的。但是向后看是不可行的。开拓通往Terrae Incognitae的新路线至关重要。本文的目的是帮助建立a)对我们面临的新挑战的重新认识; b)对这些系统性错位的更好的战略反应,这就是现在的游戏名称。

著录项

  • 作者

    Lagadec, Patrick;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2009
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en
  • 中图分类

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